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Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?
Yes 30% No 70%$2K Vol. ▼ 10% View → -
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Polymarket
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by December 31?
Yes 4% No 96%$2K Vol. ▼ 5% View → -
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Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?
Yes 62% No 38%$2K Vol. ▼ 10% View → -
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Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?
Yes 24% No 76%$2K Vol. ▲ 1% View → -
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Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by December 31, 2026?
Yes 32% No 68%$2K Vol. ▲ 2% View → -
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Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?
Yes 5% No 95%$2K Vol. ▼ 8% View → -
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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?
Yes 72% No 28%$2K Vol. ▲ 2% View → -
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US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Yes 14% No 86%$2K Vol. ▼ 1% View → -
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Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Yes 8% No 92%$1.9K Vol. ▲ 1% View → -
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Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Yes 9% No 91%$1.9K Vol. ▼ 6% View → -
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Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?
Yes 59% No 41%$1.9K Vol. ▼ 6% View → -
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Israel military action against Yemen by October 31?
Yes 11% No 89%$1.9K Vol. ▲ 3% View → -
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Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?
Yes 17% No 83%$1.9K Vol. ▲ 10% View → -
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EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31?
Yes 100% No 0%$1.9K Vol. ▲ 10% View → -
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Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?
Yes 1% No 99%$1.9K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
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Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Yes 4% No 96%$1.9K Vol. ▼ 0% View → -
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Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?
Yes 6% No 94%$1.9K Vol. ▼ 8% View → -
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Will United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?
Yes 100% No 0%$1.9K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
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Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?
Yes 3% No 97%$1.9K Vol. ▼ 1% View → -
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Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?
Yes 2% No 98%$1.9K Vol. ▼ 1% View → -
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Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2027?
Yes 12% No 88%$1.9K Vol. ▲ 6% View → -
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Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?
Yes 5% No 95%$1.9K Vol. ▲ 1% View → -
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Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?
Yes 39% No 61%$1.9K Vol. ▼ 8% View → -
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Will Noam be in the next Israeli government?
Yes 2% No 98%$1.9K Vol. ▼ 0% View →



















