Tech · AI
290 markets
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Tech
Kalshi
AI capability growth this year — At least 1550 score
Yes 29% No 71%$42K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
TechKalshi
When will OpenAI release GPT-6 — Before 2027
Yes 79% No 21%$36.8K Vol. ▼ 1% View → -
TechKalshi
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year — Nvidia
Yes 8% No 92%$33.2K Vol. ▼ 1% View → -
TechKalshi
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year — Meta
Yes 14% No 86%$32.7K Vol. ▼ 1% View → -
TechKalshi
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce — Clip-on device for clothing
Yes 14% No 86%$26.1K Vol. ▼ 2% View → -
TechKalshi
When will Anthropic release the next Mythos-Class model — Before Nov 1, 2026
Yes 63% No 37%$24.3K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
TechKalshi
Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?
Yes 7% No 93%$23K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
TechKalshi
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena — ChatGPT
Yes 6% No 94%$22.2K Vol. ▲ 2% View → -
TechKalshi
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year — Deepseek
Yes 5% No 95%$20.9K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
TechKalshi
AI capability growth this year — At least 1600 score
Yes 5% No 95%$18.2K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
TechKalshi
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena — Gemini
Yes 5% No 95%$16.2K Vol. ▲ 2% View → -
TechKalshi
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026 — Baidu
Yes 1% No 99%$16.2K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
TechKalshi
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce — Glasses
Yes 9% No 91%$15.8K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
TechKalshi
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce — Phone
Yes 7% No 93%$14.8K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
TechKalshi
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena — Grok
Yes 1% No 99%$14.6K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
TechKalshi
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year — Alibaba
Yes 5% No 95%$14.4K Vol. ▼ 6% View → -
TechKalshi
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
Yes 44% No 56%$11.8K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
TechKalshi
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year — Baidu
Yes 8% No 92%$11.5K Vol. ▲ 2% View → -
TechKalshi
AI capability growth this year — At least 1520 score
Yes 60% No 40%$8.9K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
TechKalshi
Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?
Yes 52% No 48%$8.6K Vol. ▼ 1% View → -
TechKalshi
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score — above 1500
Yes 28% No 72%$8.3K Vol. ▲ 3% View → -
TechKalshi
When will Anthropic release Opus 6 — Before Nov 1, 2026
Yes 14% No 86%$7.6K Vol. ▲ 5% View → -
TechKalshi
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce — Necklace
Yes 7% No 93%$6.4K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
TechKalshi
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score — above 1495
Yes 1% No 99%$5.6K Vol. ▼ 44% View →