Health
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term — At least 2000
90%
chance — Yes
▲ 2% today
📊 Yes price history
90%
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Where to trade
| Provider | Yes price | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi
Best odds |
90% | $25.5K | Trade |
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Polymarket
Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes
72%
No
28%
$54.4K Vol.
▼ 1%
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Plague pandemic in 2026?
Yes
2%
No
98%
$11.3K Vol.
▼ 0%
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Polymarket
Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes
85%
No
15%
$7.1K Vol.
▲ 0%
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Health
Polymarket
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
Yes
100%
No
0%
$3.4K Vol.
▲ 2%
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Health
Polymarket
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Yes
2%
No
98%
$3K Vol.
▼ 0%
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Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes
98%
No
2%
$2.8K Vol.
▲ 5%
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Kalshi
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